BI
BLACKLINE, INC. (BL)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 revenue rose 9% YoY to $169.5M with GAAP gross margin ~75.6% and non-GAAP operating margin 18.1%; non-GAAP diluted EPS was $0.47, matching the low end of prior EPS guidance, while GAAP diluted EPS was $0.79 .
- Management guided Q1 2025 revenue to $166–$168M and FY 2025 revenue to $699–$705M (7–8% growth) with non-GAAP operating margin expansion to 21–22% and non-GAAP EPS of $1.97–$2.10, citing FX as a ~1-pt growth headwind and a higher 2025 effective tax rate .
- Deal velocity slowed late in Q4 (some large deals pushed into 2025), while renewal quality improved: revenue renewal rate reached 96% and net revenue retention was 102% with ~2-pt FX drag; strategic products reached a record 33% of sales and partners touched 80% of large deals .
- Catalysts/stock narrative: execution on Studio360 platform and partner motions (SAP SolEx, Workday), improving enterprise renewals, and margin expansion; risks include FX drag, timing of large deal starts (deferrals), and early-stage FedRAMP/public sector ramp; management emphasized “execute, execute, execute” as 2025 focus .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
- What Went Well
- Studio360/platform resonance: early customer traction; Fortune 100 implementations; empowers finance to automate/orchestrate workflows; positive feedback on visualization and Snowflake data-sharing integration .
- Strategic product momentum: strategic products hit a record 33% of sales; invoice-to-cash had a record deal count; non-GAAP subscription gross margin ~82% in line; partner attach 80% on large deals .
- Renewal quality improving: revenue renewal rate 96% (97% enterprise; 92% mid-market) in a heavy renewals quarter; NRR 102% despite ~2-pt FX headwind .
- What Went Wrong
- Deal velocity/deferrals: larger late-stage deals slowed; some pushed into 2025; management cited macro/tariff uncertainty and more blueprinting by customers; one 8-figure award defers start (no 2025 revenue recognition under current construct) .
- FX headwinds: ~3-pt drag on Q4 non-GAAP operating margin; ~1-pt headwind to FY25 growth outlook; FX also pressured ARR/RPO and NRR .
- Mixed profit optics: Q4 non-GAAP EPS $0.47 at low end of prior EPS guide, but non-GAAP net income ($34.6M) was below the $36–$40M Q4 guide in dollars; management highlighted meeting/exceeding revenue and non-GAAP guidance (interpretable as EPS/OM), but investors should note dollar shortfall vs prior non-GAAP NI guide .
Financial Results
Segment mix
Key KPIs
Notes: FX was a ~3-pt drag on Q4 non-GAAP OM and ~2-pt headwind to NRR, and ~1-pt FY25 growth headwind .
Guidance Changes
Management noted ~1-pt FX growth headwind embedded in FY25 revenue guide and a higher effective tax rate in 2025 .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “BlackLine met or exceeded our revenue and non-GAAP guidance despite notable currency headwinds due to a strong U.S. dollar.” — Co-CEO Owen Ryan .
- “Our revenue renewal rate was 96% in what was a heavy renewals quarter… enterprise 97%, mid-market 92%.” — Owen Ryan .
- “Our non-GAAP gross margin was nearly 80%... non-GAAP operating margin was 18%... FX represented almost a 3-point drag.” — CFO Patrick Villanova .
- “We have begun the premium qualification process for Studio360 as part of the SolEx program… included in SAP EPM package as part of their RISE initiative.” — Owen Ryan .
- “Studio360 launch… generated significant market enthusiasm… low-code orchestration… reducing dependence on internal IT resources.” — Co-CEO Therese Tucker .
Q&A Highlights
- Pipeline and deal pushouts: Larger late-stage deals slowed with added executive scrutiny/blueprinting; some closed in January; one 8-figure award defers start to year-end 2025, implying no 2025 revenue under current construct .
- SAP/partners: 2024 reset now aligned for 2025; Studio360 SolEx PQ in Q2; included in SAP EPM (RISE); comp aligned; expectation for acceleration; SAP 26% of revenue in Q4 .
- Pricing/packaging economics: New usage/entity/ERP-based model launched; 3–4 year rollout; expected to be accretive; simplifies pricing and expands beyond accounting team seats .
- Guidance philosophy: “Appropriate and achievable targets” with transparency on assumptions/risks; reassessment each quarter; FX and higher tax rate embedded .
- FCF/taxes: Valuation allowance release implies sustained profitability; expect non-GAAP cash tax rate low-to-mid teens; lower average cash balance and rates reduce interest income tailwind .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus from S&P Global for Q4 2024 was unavailable due to API limits at the time of analysis; therefore, we cannot present a precise beat/miss vs consensus. S&P Global estimates unavailable.
- Implications for revisions: FY25 revenue growth guide (7–8%) and OM expansion to 21–22% suggest potential upward revisions to profitability estimates but modest revenue growth assumptions given FX and deal timing; near-term quarterly estimates may drift lower for revenue timing while EPS/margins could hold on operating leverage and cost control .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Execution vs narrative: Platform progress (Studio360), partner alignment (SAP/Workday), and improving renewal quality underpin the medium-term thesis; near-term revenue optics are tempered by FX and large-deal timing .
- Profit mix matters: Q4 non-GAAP EPS hit low end of prior guide and non-GAAP OM within range despite FX; FY25 guide implies margin expansion to 21–22%—a core support for EPS durability .
- Watch deal conversion/starts: Management flagged deal pushouts and deferred start dates (even for awarded 8-figure deals); improving commercialization/enablement of Studio360 and pricing model is key to reducing slippage .
- Strategic products momentum: Record 33% of sales in Q4 with invoice-to-cash strength; continued mix shift should support ARPU and stickiness, aided by partner engagement (80% on large deals) .
- SAP catalyst: Inclusion in SAP’s EPM package and SolEx PQ for Studio360 could structurally increase co-sell velocity through the RISE migration cycle; track Q2 launch milestones and Sapphire updates .
- Public sector optionality: FedRAMP investment is a margin headwind near-term but offers a new TAM vector; revenue contribution conservatively minimal in FY25 plan, potential upside in H2/2025–2026 .
- Balance sheet flexibility: ~$886M cash vs ~$893M debt; share repurchase expected to begin in Q1 2025 .
Additional Data Detail and Cross-Checks
- Full year 2024 results: Revenue $653.336M (+11% YoY), non-GAAP OM 19.4%, free cash flow $164.0M; GAAP diluted EPS $1.45; non-GAAP diluted EPS $2.18 .
- Quarterly cash flow: Q4 operating cash flow $43.8M; FCF $36.5M, consistent with seasonality and conference expense timing .
- Non-GAAP definitions and forward reconciliation limits noted; non-GAAP excludes amortization, SBC, transaction-related, contingent consideration changes, etc. Forward reconciliation not provided .
All citations:
- Q4 2024 press release/8-K: ; supplemental press release tables: .
- Q4 2024 earnings call: .
- Q3 2024 press release/call for trend/guidance: .
- Q2 2024 press release for trend: .